Lecce vs Monzaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 4 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

LecceMonza

Lecce 52%Draw 26%Monza 22%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

41%

Both teams score

46%

The rolling-strength model makes Lecce the favourites at 52% — Lecce 52%, the draw 26% and Monza 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 41% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.