Lecce vs Atalantaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 13 · Sun, 29 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

LecceAtalanta

Lecce 21%Draw 27%Atalanta 52%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Both teams score

42%

The rolling-strength model makes Atalanta the favourites at 52% — Lecce 21%, the draw 27% and Atalanta 52%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 38% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.