Fiorentina vs Cagliariprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 14 · Sun, 6 Dec 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

FiorentinaCagliari

Fiorentina 48%Draw 27%Cagliari 25%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

40%

Both teams score

46%

The rolling-strength model makes Fiorentina the favourites at 48% — Fiorentina 48%, the draw 27% and Cagliari 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 40% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.