Fiorentina vs Atalantaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 9 · Wed, 28 Oct 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

FiorentinaAtalanta

Fiorentina 31%Draw 31%Atalanta 38%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

26%

Both teams score

34%

The rolling-strength model makes Atalanta the favourites at 38% — Fiorentina 31%, the draw 31% and Atalanta 38%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 26% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.