Bologna vs Lazioprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 1 · Mon, 24 Aug 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

BolognaLazio

Bologna 40%Draw 29%Lazio 31%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Both teams score

44%

The rolling-strength model makes Bologna the favourites at 40% — Bologna 40%, the draw 29% and Lazio 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 38% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.