Atalanta vs Napoliprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 16 · Sun, 20 Dec 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

AtalantaNapoli

Atalanta 37%Draw 30%Napoli 33%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

29%

Both teams score

37%

The rolling-strength model makes Atalanta the favourites at 37% — Atalanta 37%, the draw 30% and Napoli 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 29% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.