Atalanta vs Genoaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 15 · Sun, 13 Dec 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

AtalantaGenoa

Atalanta 60%Draw 24%Genoa 16%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

37%

Both teams score

40%

The rolling-strength model makes Atalanta the favourites at 60% — Atalanta 60%, the draw 24% and Genoa 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 37% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.