Atalanta vs Cagliariprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 4 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

AtalantaCagliari

Atalanta 60%Draw 23%Cagliari 17%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Both teams score

48%

The rolling-strength model makes Atalanta the favourites at 60% — Atalanta 60%, the draw 23% and Cagliari 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 44% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.