Atalanta vs Bolognaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 2 · Mon, 31 Aug 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

AtalantaBologna

Atalanta 52%Draw 27%Bologna 21%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

34%

Both teams score

39%

The rolling-strength model makes Atalanta the favourites at 52% — Atalanta 52%, the draw 27% and Bologna 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 34% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.