Toulouse vs Le Havreprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 5 · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

ToulouseLe Havre

Toulouse 51%Draw 25%Le Havre 24%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Both teams score

50%

The rolling-strength model makes Toulouse the favourites at 51% — Toulouse 51%, the draw 25% and Le Havre 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 45% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.