Stade Brestois vs Toulouseprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 2 · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Stade BrestoisToulouse

Stade Brestois 39%Draw 28%Toulouse 34%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

41%

Both teams score

47%

The rolling-strength model makes Stade Brestois the favourites at 39% — Stade Brestois 39%, the draw 28% and Toulouse 34%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 41% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.