Stade Brestois vs Paris Saint-Germainprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 4 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Stade BrestoisParis Saint-Germain

Stade Brestois 15%Draw 21%Paris Saint-Germain 63%

Expected score

1–2

Over 2.5 goals

52%

Both teams score

51%

The rolling-strength model makes Paris Saint-Germain the favourites at 63% — Stade Brestois 15%, the draw 21% and Paris Saint-Germain 63%. The most likely scoreline is 1–2, with a 52% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.