Paris FC vs Olympique Lyonnaisprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 4 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Paris FCOlympique Lyonnais

Paris FC 39%Draw 26%Olympique Lyonnais 35%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Both teams score

60%

The rolling-strength model makes Paris FC the favourites at 39% — Paris FC 39%, the draw 26% and Olympique Lyonnais 35%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 58% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.