Olympique Lyonnais vs Stade Rennaisprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 5 · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Olympique LyonnaisStade Rennais

Olympique Lyonnais 47%Draw 24%Stade Rennais 29%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

70%

Both teams score

69%

The rolling-strength model makes Olympique Lyonnais the favourites at 47% — Olympique Lyonnais 47%, the draw 24% and Stade Rennais 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 70% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.