Olympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de Marseilleprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 14 · Sun, 13 Dec 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Olympique LyonnaisOlympique de Marseille

Olympique Lyonnais 46%Draw 24%Olympique de Marseille 30%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

68%

Both teams score

68%

The rolling-strength model makes Olympique Lyonnais the favourites at 46% — Olympique Lyonnais 46%, the draw 24% and Olympique de Marseille 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 68% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.