Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FCprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 3 · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Olympique de MarseilleParis FC

Olympique de Marseille 53%Draw 23%Paris FC 24%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

69%

Both teams score

68%

The rolling-strength model makes Olympique de Marseille the favourites at 53% — Olympique de Marseille 53%, the draw 23% and Paris FC 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 69% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.