Nice vs Lilleprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 5 · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

NiceLille

Nice 24%Draw 29%Lille 47%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

23%

Both teams score

29%

The rolling-strength model makes Lille the favourites at 47% — Nice 24%, the draw 29% and Lille 47%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 23% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.