Lorient vs Olympique de Marseilleprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 17 · Sat, 23 Jan 2027

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

LorientOlympique de Marseille

Lorient 37%Draw 25%Olympique de Marseille 37%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

66%

Both teams score

66%

The rolling-strength model makes Olympique de Marseille the favourites at 37% — Lorient 37%, the draw 25% and Olympique de Marseille 37%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 66% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.