Lille vs Paris Saint-Germainprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 2 · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

LilleParis Saint-Germain

Lille 34%Draw 28%Paris Saint-Germain 38%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

32%

Both teams score

38%

The rolling-strength model makes Paris Saint-Germain the favourites at 38% — Lille 34%, the draw 28% and Paris Saint-Germain 38%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 32% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.