Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseilleprediction

Ligue 1 2025/26 · Matchday 12 · Sat, 28 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

AuxerreOlympique de Marseille

Auxerre 31%Draw 26%Olympique de Marseille 44%

Expected score

1–2

Over 2.5 goals

57%

Both teams score

58%

The rolling-strength model makes Olympique de Marseille the favourites at 44% — Auxerre 31%, the draw 26% and Olympique de Marseille 44%. The most likely scoreline is 1–2, with a 57% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.