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La Liga 2025/26 · Matchday 1 · Wed, 26 Aug 2026
The rolling-strength model makes Real Madrid the favourites at 73% — Real Madrid 73%, the draw 17% and Real Sociedad 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 59% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.