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La Liga 2025/26 · Matchday 1 · Thu, 27 Aug 2026
The rolling-strength model makes Barcelona the favourites at 72% — Barcelona 72%, the draw 17% and Athletic Club 11%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 43% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.