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La Liga 2025/26 · Matchday 15 · Sun, 6 Dec 2026
The rolling-strength model makes Real Madrid the favourites at 51% — Athletic Club 23%, the draw 25% and Real Madrid 51%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 37% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.