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Premier League 2025/26 · Matchday 7 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026
The rolling-strength model makes Newcastle United the favourites at 39% — Newcastle United 39%, the draw 26% and Aston Villa 35%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 59% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.