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Premier League 2025/26 · Matchday 11 · Sat, 21 Nov 2026
The rolling-strength model makes Arsenal the favourites at 57% — Newcastle United 19%, the draw 23% and Arsenal 57%. The most likely scoreline is 1–2, with a 52% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.