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Premier League 2025/26 · Matchday 1 · Sat, 22 Aug 2026
The rolling-strength model makes Sunderland the favourites at 47% — Ipswich 26%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 47%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 46% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.