TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SVprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 5 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

TSG HoffenheimHamburger SV

TSG Hoffenheim 62%Draw 20%Hamburger SV 18%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

68%

Both teams score

62%

The rolling-strength model makes TSG Hoffenheim the favourites at 62% — TSG Hoffenheim 62%, the draw 20% and Hamburger SV 18%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 68% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.