TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusenprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 7 · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

TSG HoffenheimBayer 04 Leverkusen

TSG Hoffenheim 38%Draw 23%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 38%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

74%

Both teams score

73%

The rolling-strength model makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourites at 38% — TSG Hoffenheim 38%, the draw 23% and Bayer 04 Leverkusen 38%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 74% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.