Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusenprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 15 · Sat, 9 Jan 2027

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Hamburger SVBayer 04 Leverkusen

Hamburger SV 24%Draw 22%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 54%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

77%

Both teams score

73%

The rolling-strength model makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourites at 54% — Hamburger SV 24%, the draw 22% and Bayer 04 Leverkusen 54%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 77% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.