Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05prediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 2 · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Hamburger SV1. FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV 34%Draw 23%1. FSV Mainz 05 43%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

75%

Both teams score

72%

The rolling-strength model makes 1. FSV Mainz 05 the favourites at 43% — Hamburger SV 34%, the draw 23% and 1. FSV Mainz 05 43%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 75% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.