Borussia M'gladbach vs 1. FSV Mainz 05prediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 4 · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Borussia M'gladbach1. FSV Mainz 05

Borussia M'gladbach 36%Draw 24%1. FSV Mainz 05 40%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

67%

Both teams score

67%

The rolling-strength model makes 1. FSV Mainz 05 the favourites at 40% — Borussia M'gladbach 36%, the draw 24% and 1. FSV Mainz 05 40%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 67% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.