Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburgprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 17 · Sat, 16 Jan 2027

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Borussia DortmundSC Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund 72%Draw 17%SC Freiburg 11%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

60%

Both teams score

51%

The rolling-strength model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourites at 72% — Borussia Dortmund 72%, the draw 17% and SC Freiburg 11%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 60% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.