Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburgprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 6 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Bayer 04 LeverkusenSC Freiburg

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 66%Draw 19%SC Freiburg 15%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

70%

Both teams score

63%

The rolling-strength model makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourites at 66% — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 66%, the draw 19% and SC Freiburg 15%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 70% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.