Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05prediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 22 · Sat, 20 Feb 2027

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Bayer 04 Leverkusen1. FSV Mainz 05

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 59%Draw 19%1. FSV Mainz 05 22%

Expected score

3–2

Over 2.5 goals

83%

Both teams score

80%

The rolling-strength model makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourites at 59% — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 59%, the draw 19% and 1. FSV Mainz 05 22%. The most likely scoreline is 3–2, with a 83% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.