Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlinprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 2 · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Bayer 04 Leverkusen1. FC Union Berlin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 69%Draw 17%1. FC Union Berlin 15%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

76%

Both teams score

72%

The rolling-strength model makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourites at 69% — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 69%, the draw 17% and 1. FC Union Berlin 15%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 76% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.