Parma vs Genoaprediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 5 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

ParmaGenoa

Parma 38%Draw 28%Genoa 34%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

43%

Both teams score

48%

The rolling-strength model makes Parma the favourites at 38% — Parma 38%, the draw 28% and Genoa 34%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 43% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.