Juventus vs Atalantaprediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 5 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

JuventusAtalanta

Juventus 59%Draw 24%Atalanta 17%

Expected score

2–0

Over 2.5 goals

47%

Both teams score

34%

The rolling-strength model makes Juventus the favourites at 59% — Juventus 59%, the draw 24% and Atalanta 17%. The most likely scoreline is 2–0, with a 47% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.